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Original Research

2024 Bitcoin research horizon scan

2024 Bitcoin research horizon scan

I used an AI-assisted 'key questions' approach to: (1) analyze transcriptions from 1,818 Bitcoin podcast episodes from 2024; (2) identify Bitcoin-oriented threats and opportunities; and (3) create and refine a list of 100 policy-salient Bitcoin research questions.

What if US states had invested in Bitcoin in 2018?

What if US states had invested in Bitcoin in 2018?

I recently led the writing for a Satoshi Action Education report, coauthored with Eric Peterson and Dennis Porter, entitled "Strategic portfolio allocations for financial resilience: a counterfactual analysis of Bitcoin and gold in US state Rainy Day Funds." Eric had the idea for this project, which asked '

Update - Bitcoin pricing framework / model published!

Update - Bitcoin pricing framework / model published!

I'm happy to announce that our new journal article, "A supply and demand framework for Bitcoin price forecasting," was published today and is now available for free download from the Journal of Risk and Financial Management. Click on the link below: A Supply and Demand Framework

Strategic portfolio allocations for financial resilience: a counter-factual analysis of Bitcoin and gold in US state Rainy Day Funds

Strategic portfolio allocations for financial resilience: a counter-factual analysis of Bitcoin and gold in US state Rainy Day Funds

I'm happy to announce that we have a new working paper from Satoshi Action Education! It is pretty light on math, so I'm not giving a full summary here - just click on the link in the citation below to go to SSRN and download the

Forecasting Bitcoin Price Trajectories Using Supply and Demand Dynamics

Forecasting Bitcoin Price Trajectories Using Supply and Demand Dynamics

This post gives a non-technical summary of our new Satoshi Action working paper. We developed a Bitcoin supply-and-demand framework and model for forecasting Bitcoin price trajectories out to 2036.

An integrated landfill-gas-to-energy and Bitcoin mining framework

An integrated landfill-gas-to-energy and Bitcoin mining framework

Our new study explores a novel integration of Bitcoin mining with landfill gas-to-energy (LFGTE) projects to enhance methane mitigation efforts.

Bitcoin is full of surprises

Bitcoin is full of surprises

Full article summary: Rudd, M.A., 2023. Bitcoin is full of surprises. Challenges 14, 27. In this article - my own from 2023 - I explore how a Pragmatist approach can bridge left-leaning progressive values with Bitcoin's diverse potential benefits, particularly in areas important to progressives.